Mar 3, 2024
Market Insights: Navigating Economic Contradictions; The Fed’s Efforts vs. Consumer Behavior
Wayne Yi, CFA
We’ve come a long way from peak inflation of 9% and $120 per barrel of oil in 2022, down to about 3% and $80, respectively, here in early 2024. It required a dramatic 5.5% interest rate hiking program and a few bank failures, but the Fed has made substantial strides in driving disinflation (slowing inflation). The job is not done, as the long-term target is 2%, however, we’re heading in the right direction. What’s been most impressive has been the resilience of the economy, as GDP steadily expanded over the course of 2023, despite a restrictive monetary policy and reduced lending and capital markets activity.
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